Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market platform, and Stocktwits, the largest social platform for investors and traders, have announced a strategic partnership to integrate real-time probabilities on market-moving events directly into the Stocktwits experience. This collaboration represents Polymarket's largest-ever strategic partnership and brings together two dynamic platforms in trading and investing to deliver transparent, continuously priced expectations around events that move markets.
The partnership will debut with embedded earnings outcome markets on Stocktwits ticker pages and streams, covering select companies during earnings season. Stocktwits' 10 million-strong community will now be able to see Polymarket's real-time, crowd-priced probabilities alongside their conversations about earnings, sentiment, and market moves. This integration provides investors with a clean, continuously calibrated signal on expectations, helping them sharpen conviction with clarity during one of the most consequential and volatile times for investors.
Matthew Modabber, Chief Marketing Officer at Polymarket, stated that prediction markets transform uncertainty into clarity by turning big questions like earnings into simple, tradable outcomes with transparent pricing. The partnership allows Polymarket to put this power directly into the hands of millions of investors where they already live and engage, reshaping how markets process information. Additional experiences include "mention markets" tracking whether specific terms appear on earnings calls, as well as discovery features such as curated collections and watchlists that highlight upcoming earnings with live probabilities.
Probabilities will be displayed directly in Stocktwits discussions, with access to Polymarket for deeper details, order books, and settlement rules. Markets resolve on official company reports and call transcripts per clearly published rules on each Polymarket page. The rollout begins in September 2025 for select U.S. users, with broader availability throughout the earnings season.
Howard Lindzon, Founder and CEO of Stocktwits, emphasized that in a post real-time world, trust, community, and great signals matter more than speed. Polymarket has created an entirely new way to understand news and expectations, while Stocktwits serves as the place where millions of investors gather to share ideas and sentiment. Together, the platforms can help investors cut through noise and focus on the probabilities that matter most. This partnership represents a significant advancement in how retail investors access and utilize prediction market data, potentially changing how market expectations are formed and acted upon in real-time.
